NEPSE Market Regime and Top Risk
Is NEPSE healthy? Distribution days, the follow-through day, index technicals, breadth, market-top risk and how long past corrections lasted.
Distribution days
Normal · 0 in 5 · 1 in 15 · 2 in 25 sessions
| Date | NEPSE | Turnover vs day before | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-07 | -0.3% | +19.5% | Counts 18 more sessions |
| 2026-09-09 | -0.6% | +9.0% | Last session it counts |
| 2026-08-26 | -1.4% | +14.9% | Expired |
| 2026-08-25 | -0.2% | +27.5% | Expired |
| 2026-08-21 | -0.4% | +6.7% | Expired |
Follow-through day
Rally day 7: watching for a follow-through day.
O’Neil’s bottom signal: after a 3% fall, a rally whose day 4 to 10 gains 1.25% or more on higher turnover.
Index technicals
Weakness score 35 / 100
- 21-day EMA under the 50-day
- Below the 200-day average
- Lower highs over 20 sessions
Breadth
302 shares read
Above their 50-day average39.4%Above their 200-day average23.7%In an uptrend10.6%52-week highs / lows today3 / 3
How long NEPSE corrections lasted
Falls of 5% or more since 2025-10-15, peak to low.
| Peak | Low | Fall | Sessions |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | 2026-08-31 | -8.1% | 25 |
| 2026-03-24 | 2026-07-13 | -13.2% | 75 |
| 2026-01-25 | 2026-02-22 | -5.7% | 17 |
Trader AI applies published trading rules (Minervini, O’Neil, Stockbee) to NEPSE history. Readings are education, not investment advice; NEPSE can move against any setup.